Making sense of the markets this week: July 9, 2023

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Most of the greatest progress corporations pay a really small dividend or no dividend in any respect. They’re utilizing free money stream to reinvest in and develop the enterprise. 

I might place “investing solely for the dividends” as the most typical and costliest mistake for American and Canadian self-directed traders.

Tesla deliveries beat expectations 

Tesla delivered a file 466,140 vehicles worldwide within the second quarter, outpacing Wall Avenue estimates of 445,000. The world’s main electrical automotive firm needed to chase quantity by slicing costs. The deliveries are probably the most ever for Tesla, and are an 83% improve from a yr in the past. The corporate additionally managed to shut the hole between manufacturing and deliveries. It produced practically 18,000 extra vehicles than it delivered to prospects. 

The electrical automobile (EV) maker delivered 19,225 Mannequin Ss and Xs throughout the identical quarter versus 16,000 consensus and 446,915 of the lower-priced Mannequin 3 sedan and Mannequin Y crossovers throughout the quarter versus 430,000 consensus. 

Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives stated worth cuts have paid main dividends for Tesla, as demand seems to stay very robust and manufacturing efficiencies have allowed for the huge quarterly deliveries beat, in accordance with this Looking for Alpha article. The agency thinks Tesla remains to be on observe to hit its 1.8-million unit supply milestone for the yr, then margins ramp again up in 2024. 

“With this supply beat, we imagine the sum-of-the-parts story for Tesla is one other step in the direction of coming into play with its newly launched supercharger community OEM [original equipment manufacturer] offers, vitality enterprise, AI pushed autonomous path, unmatched battery ecosystem, and elevated manufacturing scale/scope globally including to the Tesla golden EV success story.”

Chinese language EV producer BYD can be experiencing spectacular positive factors. Bloomberg studies: 

“BYD gained floor on Tesla in absolutely electrical automobile gross sales, virtually doubling deliveries to 352,163 models within the second quarter. The Shenzhen-based firm’s complete gross sales soared 98% from a yr in the past. The corporate bought a file 251,685 new-energy automobiles in June. Smaller Chinese language upstart Li Auto Inc. posted a brand new month-to-month excessive of 32,575 deliveries, whereas Xpeng Inc. and Nio Inc. noticed modest will increase.” 

By the way, Warren Buffett held virtually 10% of BYD in Berkshire Hathaway as of early Could, however he has been lowering his stake in it. As for Tesla, my take is that the model basically created the EV class. It had a close to monopoly, however now the EV dance ground is large open. It would lose market share at a beneficiant clip, and there’s no assure that it’s going to win the EV marathon. 

I might guess that the Chinese language producers will take China and far of Asia’s market share. They’ll go away some scraps for Tesla there. I see significant headwinds for Tesla, however I may very well be mistaken.  

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