Admittedly it’s early, very early to make a pronouncement {that a} double-top is “in”, however we do have a second high and it may very well be THE high. We have annotated the prior long-term high from 2021. Expertise’s bear market started in earnest at the moment. The Silver Cross Index was not as excessive as it’s now. It is rather overbought.
Granted the Golden Cross Index is rising and will rise increased. Most of the shares inside the sector have EMAs which might be configured as XLK. Worth is nicely above each the 50/200-day EMAs. The lack of a Golden Cross requires value to maneuver beneath the 200-day EMA, that could be a good distance down for lots of the very overbought shares inside Expertise.
Now we have a bearish Adam & Eve double-top within the short-term on XLK that implies on the very least a pullback. The PMO is in decline after bearishly topping beneath the sign line. Participation is holding sturdy, however is overbought in all timeframes. Nowhere left for these indicators to go besides down.
Conclusion: Expertise may be very overbought and we may very well be a long-term double-top. At a minimal we now have a short-term double-top that implies a pullback. We’ll wish to watch the Silver Cross Index intently, if we see a drop beneath the sign line will probably be character change or “bearish shift”.
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Erin Swenlin is a co-founder of the DecisionPoint.com web site alongside along with her father, Carl Swenlin. She launched the DecisionPoint day by day weblog in 2009 alongside Carl and now serves as a consulting technical analyst and weblog contributor at StockCharts.com. Erin is an lively Member of the CMT Affiliation. She holds a Grasp’s diploma in Data Useful resource Administration from the Air Drive Institute of Expertise in addition to a Bachelor’s diploma in Arithmetic from the College of Southern California.